SimpleFunctions
SportsWinner-take-all · 4 outcomes4 contractsKalshirefreshed 3 min agoCloses May 25, 2026 · 16d

Will there be overtime in the Montreal vs Tampa Bay NHL game originally scheduled for Apr 29, 2026

Leader sits at 16% across 4 bound outcomes, runner-up at 15%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.

Leader probability

16%

Game goes to overtime

runner-up 15¢leader 16¢

Outcomes

4

winner-take-all

Runner-up

15¢

Game goes to overtime

Spread

1pp

contested

24h volume

$119

thin orderbook

Closes

May 25, 2026

16 days

Venue

Kalshi

4 bound

30-day trend

0%50%100%-30d-3w-2w-1wtodayGame goes to overtime: 7% (3 days, 2 points)Game goes to overtime: 7% on 2026-05-08Game goes to overtime: 7% (3 days, 3 points)Game goes to overtime: 7% on 2026-05-08Game goes to overtime: 7% (3 days, 2 points)Game goes to overtime: 7% on 2026-05-08
Game goes to overtime7¢Game goes to overtime7¢Game goes to overtime7¢
Top 3 candidates by current price · 3d

Bracket family

How the bracket ladder is priced.

Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.

What moved the line

  • May 7Game goes to overtime9pp2112¢ · Kalshi
  • May 8Game goes to overtime5pp127¢ · Kalshi

Recently closed in sports

These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

More like this

Adjacent prediction questions.

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 3 min ago.