Will Cole Caufield record the most goals in the 1st Round of the 2026 NHL Playoffs
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 17% across 2 Kalshi contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
17%
2 contracts
Polymarket
—
not bound
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$141
2 contracts
Closes
May 16, 2026
8 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
2 clusters across 2 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Cluster 1
Will Matt Boldy record the most goals in the 1st Round of the 2026 NHL Playoffs
Cluster 2
Will Zach Hyman record the most goals in the 1st Round of the 2026 NHL Playoffs
Analysis
This market reflects the probability that Cole Caufield finishes the 2026 NHL playoffs' first round with more goals than any other player. At 6%, it suggests low confidence in this outcome. Caufield would need to both play a significant role in his team's first-round series and outscore other top offensive performers during that span. Key factors affecting this probability include Caufield's playoff scoring pace relative to league-leading goal scorers, his team's first-round matchup and series length, the health and performance of other high-volume goal scorers entering the playoffs, and historical precedent for younger players dominating first-round goal totals. The resolution will depend entirely on actual playoff performance once the first round concludes, likely in late May or early June 2026.
- ›Caufield's team seeding and opponent—easier matchups may extend series length and increase goal opportunities
- ›Historical first-round goal-scoring leaders and whether Caufield typically ranks among top-10 playoff goal scorers in any playoff run
- ›Injury status and roster composition of Caufield's team versus other playoff contenders with prolific scorers
- ›Caufield's career playoff performance and goal-scoring rate compared to current elite playoff performers
- ›Number of games played in first round—longer series provide more scoring opportunities, directly affecting total goal accumulation
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
Lateral coverage
Thin contract — here's where the deeper coverage is.
This page aggregates 2 contracts (17% headline). At low contract count, the price reflects two participants’ opinions, not a market consensus. The links below are heavier related questions where the orderbook signal is real.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 4 d ago.