Orlando City SC vs. Charlotte FC - More Markets
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 37% across 20 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
37%
20 contracts
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$0
20 contracts
Top contract
26¢
$0 · Polymarket
30-day trend
Bracket families
4 clusters across 20 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Cluster 1
Tochigi City FC vs. Yokohama FC - More Markets
Tochigi City FC vs. Yokohama FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0xd165f0…81c8
Tochigi City FC vs. Yokohama FC - More Markets: Yokohama FC (-2.5)
0x63f37e…c527
Tochigi City FC vs. Yokohama FC - More Markets: Yokohama FC (-1.5)
0x2c1d81…eecf
Tochigi City FC vs. Yokohama FC - More Markets: Tochigi City FC (-2.5)
0xd08f51…1e15
Tochigi City FC vs. Yokohama FC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0xd68383…5708
Tochigi City FC vs. Yokohama FC - More Markets: Tochigi City FC (-1.5)
0x00d353…5196
Tochigi City FC vs. Yokohama FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x22beac…2bae
Tochigi City FC vs. Yokohama FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x1addf0…ac8d
Cluster 2
Montevideo City Torque vs. CD Palestino - More Markets
Montevideo City Torque vs. CD Palestino - More Markets: Montevideo City Torque (-1.5)
0xfaa73b…37c0
Montevideo City Torque vs. CD Palestino - More Markets: Montevideo City Torque (-2.5)
0x6a797b…580f
Montevideo City Torque vs. CD Palestino - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0xeb5b2d…0abc
Montevideo City Torque vs. CD Palestino - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x07f7a0…ead8
Montevideo City Torque vs. CD Palestino - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x69428f…bd63
Montevideo City Torque vs. CD Palestino - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0xe10577…46f4
Montevideo City Torque vs. CD Palestino - More Markets: CD Palestino (-1.5)
0x3516b5…3b92
Cluster 3
New York City FC vs. Los Angeles FC - More Markets
Cluster 4
Mumbai City FC vs. East Bengal FC - More Markets
What moved the line
- May 3Both Teams to Score↓8pp59→51¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Tochigi City FC (-2.5)↑5pp32→37¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Yokohama FC (-1.5)↑4pp33→37¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Yokohama FC (-2.5)↑4pp34→38¢ · Polymarket
- May 3O/U 3.5↑3pp36→39¢ · Polymarket
Recently closed in general
- Canterbury Rams vs Franklin Bulls WinnerSouthland Sharkslast 65% · 0d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 9 min ago.