Orlando Pride vs. Washington Spirit
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 46% across 7 Kalshi contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
46%
7 contracts
Polymarket
—
not bound
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$0
7 contracts
Top contract
54¢
$0 · Kalshi
30-day trend
Bracket families
3 clusters across 7 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 33% of their title tokens — “Will Barça eSports win” vs “Will GIANTX PRIDE win”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Will Barça eSports win
Will Barça eSports win map 2 in the GIANTX PRIDE vs. Barça eSports match?: Barça eSports
KXLOLMAP-26MAY061400GXPBAR-2-BAR
Will Barça eSports win the GIANTX PRIDE vs. Barça eSports League of Legends match?: Barça eSports
KXLOLGAME-26MAY061400GXPBAR-BAR
Will Barça eSports win map 1 in the GIANTX PRIDE vs. Barça eSports match?: Barça eSports
KXLOLMAP-26MAY061400GXPBAR-1-BAR
Cluster 2
Will GIANTX PRIDE win
Will GIANTX PRIDE win the GIANTX PRIDE vs. Barça eSports League of Legends match?: GIANTX PRIDE
KXLOLGAME-26MAY061400GXPBAR-GXP
Will GIANTX PRIDE win map 1 in the GIANTX PRIDE vs. Barça eSports match?: GIANTX PRIDE
KXLOLMAP-26MAY061400GXPBAR-1-GXP
Will GIANTX PRIDE win map 2 in the GIANTX PRIDE vs. Barça eSports match?: GIANTX PRIDE
KXLOLMAP-26MAY061400GXPBAR-2-GXP
Cluster 3
Will over 2.5 maps be played in the GIANTX PRIDE vs. Barça eSports League of Legends match
Recently closed in general
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 10 min ago.