Winner-take-all · 12 outcomes12 contractsPolymarketrefreshed 10 min ago

Pharco FC vs. El Gouna SC

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Leader sits at 61% across 12 bound outcomes, runner-up at 43%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.

Leader probability

61%

O/U 1.5

0¢runner-up 43¢leader 61¢

Outcomes

winner-take-all

Runner-up

43¢

Both Teams to Score

Spread

18pp

contested

24h volume

thin orderbook

Closes

—

not derived

Venue

Polymarket

12 bound

Top contract →Read as answer

30-day trend

O/U 1.560¢Both Teams to Score43¢El Mokawloon El Arab SC37¢

Top 3 candidates by current price · 5d

Bracket family

How the bracket ladder is priced.

Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.

Cluster 1

Pharco FC vs. El Mokawloon El Arab SC

12 contracts$0

OutcomePrice24hVolumeVenueDetail

Pharco FC vs. El Mokawloon El Arab SC - More Markets: El Mokawloon El Arab SC (-2.5)

0x94b962…3ad3

4¢−5pp$0P→

Pharco FC vs. El Mokawloon El Arab SC - More Markets: Pharco FC (-2.5)

0x85c5f5…f158

3¢−1pp$0P→

Pharco FC vs. El Mokawloon El Arab SC - More Markets: El Mokawloon El Arab SC (-1.5)

0xec25e2…60ac

13¢−1pp$0P→

Pharco FC vs. El Mokawloon El Arab SC - More Markets: O/U 3.5

0xd79ae9…8d45

14¢±0$0P→

Pharco FC vs. El Mokawloon El Arab SC: Pharco FC

0x30ab64…15fd

30¢+5pp$0P→

Pharco FC vs. El Mokawloon El Arab SC: El Mokawloon El Arab SC

0x44181c…4216

37¢±0$0P→

Pharco FC vs. El Mokawloon El Arab SC - More Markets: O/U 4.5

0x90b83a…48f0

5¢−5pp$0P→

Pharco FC vs. El Mokawloon El Arab SC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score

0xeef4d7…eca0

43¢±0$0P→

Pharco FC vs. El Mokawloon El Arab SC - More Markets: Pharco FC (-1.5)

0x3e7774…d5e0

10¢−1pp$0P→

Pharco FC vs. El Mokawloon El Arab SC - More Markets: O/U 2.5

0x1940d4…7aa6

32¢±0$0P→

Pharco FC vs. El Mokawloon El Arab SC - More Markets: O/U 1.5

0x218f90…4916

61¢±0$0P→

Pharco FC vs. El Mokawloon El Arab SC: Draw (Pharco FC vs. El Mokawloon El Arab SC)

0x568aa4…4817

34¢−1pp$0P→

What moved the line

May 3El Mokawloon El Arab SC (-2.5)↓5pp9→4¢ · Polymarket
May 2O/U 4.5↓5pp13→8¢ · Polymarket
May 3Pharco FC↑5pp24→29¢ · Polymarket
May 2El Mokawloon El Arab SC (-2.5)↓4pp13→9¢ · Polymarket
May 1Draw (Pharco FC vs. El Mokawloon El Arab SC)↑4pp31→35¢ · Polymarket

Recently closed in general

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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 10 min ago.

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