PSL Cricket
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 63% across 2 Kalshi contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
63%
2 contracts
Polymarket
—
not bound
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$999
2 contracts
Closes
May 24, 2026
15 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
2 clusters across 2 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Cluster 1
Will Peshawar Zalmi win the Pakistan Super League
Will Peshawar Zalmi win the Pakistan Super League?: Peshawar Zalmi
KXPSL-26-PZA
Cluster 2
Will Islamabad United win the Pakistan Super League
Will Islamabad United win the Pakistan Super League?: Islamabad United
KXPSL-26-ISL
Analysis
This probability reflects market expectations that PSL Cricket will achieve a specified outcome or milestone. At 54%, the market is pricing this as a roughly even-odds proposition, indicating substantial uncertainty. The current level likely reflects PSL's established position as a major cricket franchise league balanced against specific performance or structural uncertainties—such as team performance targets, viewership metrics, sponsorship renewals, or competitive standing. The resolution will depend on measurable data points that can be objectively verified, whether tournament results, financial targets, or regulatory approvals. Key upcoming events or data releases in the PSL calendar would be the primary catalyst for movement, as concrete results replace speculation.
- ›PSL league structure, participation, and confirmed calendar for the 2026 season and beyond
- ›Recent viewership trends, sponsorship commitments, and financial performance of PSL franchises
- ›Competitive performance of the teams involved, including player acquisitions and retention outcomes
- ›Regulatory or political developments affecting cricket operations in Pakistan and participating regions
- ›Comparative strength of rival franchise leagues and their impact on PSL's market position
What moved the line
- May 3Islamabad United↑27pp3→30¢ · Kalshi
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
Lateral coverage
Thin contract — here's where the deeper coverage is.
This page aggregates 2 contracts (63% headline). At low contract count, the price reflects two participants’ opinions, not a market consensus. The links below are heavier related questions where the orderbook signal is real.
In sports
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 4 d ago.