Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 36% across 20 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
36%
20 contracts
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$368
20 contracts
Top contract
5¢
$306 · Polymarket
30-day trend
Bracket families
2 clusters across 20 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 0% of their title tokens — “Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC” vs “Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC - More Markets: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-2.5)
0x96f320…71c5
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC
0xc09bd5…6667
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x64562d…92f6
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: Shanghai Haigang FC
0xa0abb9…77bd
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x17c39c…a344
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x06629a…cd4f
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: Draw (Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC)
0x774484…9dc5
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x71de78…f592
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC - More Markets: Shanghai Haigang FC (-2.5)
0x8f9476…0be2
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x9ba015…d92d
Cluster 2
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Wuhan San Zhen FC
0x13b64b…4305
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x4612ca…3182
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x091425…55b9
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x0d83fd…83c0
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC - More Markets: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-1.5)
0x9559fd…f68f
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC - More Markets: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-2.5)
0xe6edf9…c991
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Draw (Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC)
0xcb984a…8b64
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Qingdao Hainiu FC
0xe80fa6…291b
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0xa6d2ed…c989
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC - More Markets: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5)
0x68a5ef…cb41
What moved the line
- May 2Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC↓8pp30→22¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Draw (Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC)↓8pp29→21¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5)↑6pp26→32¢ · Polymarket
- May 2Qingdao Hainiu FC↓6pp39→33¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Qingdao Hainiu FC↓6pp33→27¢ · Polymarket
Recently closed in general
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 2 min ago.