Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC - More Markets
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 37% across 20 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
37%
20 contracts
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$403
20 contracts
Top contract
5¢
$306 · Polymarket
30-day trend
Bracket families
3 clusters across 20 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 0% of their title tokens — “Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC” vs “Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC - More Markets”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC - More Markets: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-2.5)
0x96f320…71c5
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC
0xc09bd5…6667
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x64562d…92f6
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x06629a…cd4f
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC - More Markets: Shanghai Haigang FC (-2.5)
0x8f9476…0be2
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x71de78…f592
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x17c39c…a344
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC - More Markets: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-1.5)
0x29a5a0…d6f3
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x9ba015…d92d
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC - More Markets: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)
0xaa75cd…8883
Cluster 2
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC - More Markets
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x4612ca…3182
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC - More Markets: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-2.5)
0xe6edf9…c991
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC - More Markets: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-1.5)
0x9559fd…f68f
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x091425…55b9
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x0d83fd…83c0
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x3b694c…2e12
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC - More Markets: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5)
0x68a5ef…cb41
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0xa6d2ed…c989
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC - More Markets: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-2.5)
0x133174…2281
Cluster 3
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x92fa6c…9a3a
What moved the line
- May 2Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC↓8pp30→22¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-1.5)↑6pp17→23¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5)↑6pp26→32¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Wuhan San Zhen FC (-1.5)↑4pp29→33¢ · Polymarket
- May 2O/U 2.5↑3pp63→66¢ · Polymarket
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 23 min ago.