Racing Club vs. CA Barracas Central
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 25% across 20 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
25%
20 contracts
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$306
20 contracts
Top contract
3¢
$306 · Polymarket
30-day trend
Bracket families
3 clusters across 20 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 33% of their title tokens — “CA Barracas Central vs. Club Olimpia” vs “CA Rosario Central vs. Club Libertad”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
CA Barracas Central vs. Club Olimpia
CA Barracas Central vs. Club Olimpia - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x1a4935…521c
CA Barracas Central vs. Club Olimpia - More Markets: CA Barracas Central (-2.5)
0xdb3d67…d50e
CA Barracas Central vs. Club Olimpia: Draw (CA Barracas Central vs. Club Olimpia)
0x56b99e…e1d8
CA Barracas Central vs. Club Olimpia: Club Olimpia
0x784ea5…5f80
CA Barracas Central vs. Club Olimpia - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0xa27982…f72c
CA Barracas Central vs. Club Olimpia - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x30e102…51a6
CA Barracas Central vs. Club Olimpia - More Markets: Club Olimpia (-1.5)
0x82b4d2…891c
CA Barracas Central vs. Club Olimpia - More Markets: Club Olimpia (-2.5)
0x86e768…09e0
CA Barracas Central vs. Club Olimpia - More Markets: CA Barracas Central (-1.5)
0xb1c84f…49ab
CA Barracas Central vs. Club Olimpia - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x1765d6…36ed
CA Barracas Central vs. Club Olimpia - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x09165e…4af3
CA Barracas Central vs. Club Olimpia: CA Barracas Central
0x3e3347…45e9
Cluster 2
CA Rosario Central vs. Club Libertad
CA Rosario Central vs. Club Libertad - More Markets: Club Libertad (-2.5)
0x361624…8104
CA Rosario Central vs. Club Libertad - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x8f0caa…5dd3
CA Rosario Central vs. Club Libertad - More Markets: CA Rosario Central (-2.5)
0x178a18…e4f2
CA Rosario Central vs. Club Libertad - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x80fa15…067d
CA Rosario Central vs. Club Libertad - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x5a58b8…8891
CA Rosario Central vs. Club Libertad: Draw (CA Rosario Central vs. Club Libertad)
0x6baec5…be1f
Cluster 3
Botafogo FR vs. Racing Club - More Markets
What moved the line
- May 3Club Libertad (-2.5)↓5pp11→6¢ · Polymarket
- May 3CA Rosario Central (-2.5)↑4pp19→23¢ · Polymarket
Recently closed in general
- Canterbury Rams vs Franklin Bulls WinnerSouthland Sharkslast 65% · 0d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 13 min ago.