Sagan Tosu vs. Tegevajaro Miyazaki - More Markets
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 41% across 20 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
41%
20 contracts
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$0
20 contracts
Top contract
29¢
$0 · Polymarket
30-day trend
Bracket families
2 clusters across 20 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 0% of their title tokens — “Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs. FC Ryūkyū” vs “Sagan Tosu vs. Gainare Tottori - More Markets”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs. FC Ryūkyū
Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs. FC Ryūkyū - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x4ff230…0214
Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs. FC Ryūkyū: Draw (Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs. FC Ryūkyū)
0x374006…53c4
Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs. FC Ryūkyū: FC Ryūkyū
0xb521a1…e4ca
Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs. FC Ryūkyū - More Markets: Tegevajaro Miyazaki (-2.5)
0xeba801…f645
Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs. FC Ryūkyū - More Markets: FC Ryūkyū (-2.5)
0x8122ee…88bf
Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs. FC Ryūkyū - More Markets: FC Ryūkyū (-1.5)
0xc6d7d5…3edc
Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs. FC Ryūkyū - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x0bd2ca…5488
Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs. FC Ryūkyū - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x1caf69…9174
Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs. FC Ryūkyū - More Markets: Tegevajaro Miyazaki (-1.5)
0xf4a4fa…188d
Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs. FC Ryūkyū - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0xac71aa…fa1b
Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs. FC Ryūkyū - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x37d876…81d9
Cluster 2
Sagan Tosu vs. Gainare Tottori - More Markets
Sagan Tosu vs. Gainare Tottori - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x719429…7984
Sagan Tosu vs. Gainare Tottori - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0xb085f4…d24e
Sagan Tosu vs. Gainare Tottori - More Markets: Sagan Tosu (-2.5)
0x5900f7…c899
Sagan Tosu vs. Gainare Tottori - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0xc62c80…3ca6
Sagan Tosu vs. Gainare Tottori - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x2d68ef…5be9
Sagan Tosu vs. Gainare Tottori - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x57869b…5019
Sagan Tosu vs. Gainare Tottori - More Markets: Sagan Tosu (-1.5)
0xde051c…f56b
Sagan Tosu vs. Gainare Tottori - More Markets: Gainare Tottori (-1.5)
0xe81828…a3a4
Sagan Tosu vs. Gainare Tottori - More Markets: Gainare Tottori (-2.5)
0x00cdc8…8c9f
What moved the line
- May 3FC Ryūkyū (-1.5)↑5pp33→38¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Tegevajaro Miyazaki (-2.5)↑5pp32→37¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Gainare Tottori (-1.5)↑4pp33→37¢ · Polymarket
- May 3FC Ryūkyū (-2.5)↑4pp34→38¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Sagan Tosu (-2.5)↑4pp32→36¢ · Polymarket
Recently closed in general
- Canterbury Rams vs Franklin Bulls WinnerSouthland Sharkslast 65% · 0d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 1 min ago.