SC Sagamihara vs. Shōnan Bellmāre - More Markets
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 40% across 19 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
40%
19 contracts
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$204
19 contracts
Top contract
53¢
$204 · Polymarket
30-day trend
Bracket families
3 clusters across 19 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 22% of their title tokens — “Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. Shōnan Bellmāre - More Markets” vs “Blaublitz Akita vs. SC Sagamihara - More Markets”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. Shōnan Bellmāre - More Markets
Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. Shōnan Bellmāre - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x9e444e…f814
Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. Shōnan Bellmāre - More Markets: Shōnan Bellmāre (-1.5)
0x3cdb5c…d493
Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. Shōnan Bellmāre - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0xb005ca…3bbc
Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. Shōnan Bellmāre - More Markets: Vanraure Hachinohe FC (-2.5)
0x542c31…3743
Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. Shōnan Bellmāre - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0xb96a58…dc54
Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. Shōnan Bellmāre - More Markets: Shōnan Bellmāre (-2.5)
0xdc17d5…1ad4
Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. Shōnan Bellmāre - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0xf8c905…86be
Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. Shōnan Bellmāre - More Markets: Vanraure Hachinohe FC (-1.5)
0xe04de2…f5d3
Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. Shōnan Bellmāre - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x5680f0…8296
Cluster 2
Blaublitz Akita vs. SC Sagamihara - More Markets
Blaublitz Akita vs. SC Sagamihara - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x7b0fa0…94f0
Blaublitz Akita vs. SC Sagamihara - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0xf4a1b8…1c5d
Blaublitz Akita vs. SC Sagamihara - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x72dcd3…9505
Blaublitz Akita vs. SC Sagamihara - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0xb586da…85d1
Blaublitz Akita vs. SC Sagamihara - More Markets: Blaublitz Akita (-1.5)
0x0a2d11…a06a
Blaublitz Akita vs. SC Sagamihara - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x78f941…ce45
Blaublitz Akita vs. SC Sagamihara - More Markets: SC Sagamihara (-1.5)
0xb700dd…1d5e
Blaublitz Akita vs. SC Sagamihara - More Markets: SC Sagamihara (-2.5)
0xa862ed…0185
Blaublitz Akita vs. SC Sagamihara - More Markets: Blaublitz Akita (-2.5)
0xc9e19c…0bb4
Cluster 3
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Molde FK - More Markets: FK Bodø/Glimt
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Molde FK - More Markets: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)
0x879d11…150c
What moved the line
- May 3Shōnan Bellmāre (-1.5)↑4pp33→37¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Shōnan Bellmāre (-2.5)↑3pp35→38¢ · Polymarket
Recently closed in general
- Canterbury Rams vs Franklin Bulls WinnerSouthland Sharkslast 65% · 0d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: just now.