Shandong Taishan FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 36% across 20 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
36%
20 contracts
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$386
20 contracts
Top contract
28¢
$94 · Polymarket
30-day trend
Bracket families
2 clusters across 20 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 0% of their title tokens — “Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC” vs “Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: Shanghai Shenhua FC
0x0f12ad…4df5
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x20d721…2fe8
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x92fa6c…9a3a
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0xff2a9a…cd1f
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x1e5ceb…d94f
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0xb2fdfb…12fc
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: Draw (Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC)
0xb941d9…4244
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC - More Markets: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-2.5)
0xfa1d79…8e45
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC - More Markets: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)
0x8d6eb4…11cc
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC - More Markets: Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5)
0x15f1cb…719f
Cluster 2
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC
0x299117…a858
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x8508f6…067a
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: Qingdao Xihaian FC
0x5734d6…d64b
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x8c7c03…b8bb
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: Draw (Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC)
0x47b594…8c5a
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC - More Markets: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-2.5)
0x3ed805…a3e4
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC - More Markets: Qingdao Xihaian FC (-1.5)
0x817c8e…fc3f
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC - More Markets: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-1.5)
0x9e39af…bb75
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x20d0cd…a5ef
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x2251c7…d389
What moved the line
- May 3O/U 4.5↑10pp16→26¢ · Polymarket
- May 2Shanghai Shenhua FC (-2.5)↓10pp26→16¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Qingdao Xihaian FC (-1.5)↑10pp25→35¢ · Polymarket
- May 2Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-1.5)↓9pp29→20¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5)↑8pp23→31¢ · Polymarket
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 23 min ago.