Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 35% across 20 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
35%
20 contracts
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$1K
20 contracts
Top contract
16¢
$575 · Polymarket
30-day trend
Bracket families
2 clusters across 20 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 0% of their title tokens — “Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC” vs “Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC - More Markets”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: Liaoning Tieren FC
0x767937…230b
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC - More Markets: Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5)
0xeacd4b…9c9e
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: Chengdu Rongcheng FC
0x6c60ac…e575
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x265119…772e
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC - More Markets: Liaoning Tieren FC (-1.5)
0x1da10f…ed87
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0xd79dfe…f845
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x691544…6208
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC - More Markets: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-2.5)
0x45e030…a07f
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC - More Markets: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)
0x069e2b…e280
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x821567…77e8
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x796d0b…4310
Cluster 2
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC - More Markets
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC - More Markets: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-2.5)
0x96f320…71c5
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x64562d…92f6
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC - More Markets: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-1.5)
0x29a5a0…d6f3
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x06629a…cd4f
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x9ba015…d92d
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x17c39c…a344
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC - More Markets: Shanghai Haigang FC (-2.5)
0x8f9476…0be2
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC - More Markets: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)
0xaa75cd…8883
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x71de78…f592
What moved the line
- May 2Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-2.5)↓10pp32→22¢ · Polymarket
- May 2Liaoning Tieren FC↓9pp25→16¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5)↓6pp12→6¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-1.5)↑6pp17→23¢ · Polymarket
- May 2Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5)↓5pp17→12¢ · Polymarket
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 23 min ago.