Shimizu S-Pulse vs. V-Varen Nagasaki - More Markets
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 30% across 20 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
30%
20 contracts
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$15
20 contracts
Top contract
54¢
$15 · Polymarket
30-day trend
Bracket families
2 clusters across 20 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 0% of their title tokens — “Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Cerezo Ōsaka” vs “V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Fagiano Okayama - More Markets”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Cerezo Ōsaka
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Cerezo Ōsaka - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0xd2a242…44ad
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Cerezo Ōsaka: Draw (Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Cerezo Ōsaka)
0xbd1972…c96f
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Cerezo Ōsaka: Shimizu S-Pulse
0x434537…a9ae
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Cerezo Ōsaka - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0xfb2380…fa88
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Cerezo Ōsaka - More Markets: Shimizu S-Pulse (-1.5)
0x58a32c…7fa2
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Cerezo Ōsaka - More Markets: Cerezo Ōsaka (-2.5)
0xbf161f…ec44
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Cerezo Ōsaka - More Markets: Cerezo Ōsaka (-1.5)
0x339193…6144
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Cerezo Ōsaka - More Markets: Shimizu S-Pulse (-2.5)
0xc33d1c…62ae
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Cerezo Ōsaka - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x699392…76a7
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Cerezo Ōsaka - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x9ba576…5369
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Cerezo Ōsaka - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x8f53ed…5fd7
Cluster 2
V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Fagiano Okayama - More Markets
V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Fagiano Okayama - More Markets: V-Varen Nagasaki (-1.5)
0xa74e60…fec0
V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Fagiano Okayama - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x2871c0…c97c
V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Fagiano Okayama - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x72e6ac…411d
V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Fagiano Okayama - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x07a435…b319
V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Fagiano Okayama - More Markets: V-Varen Nagasaki (-2.5)
0x939800…62bf
V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Fagiano Okayama - More Markets: Fagiano Okayama (-1.5)
0x1b0ea4…e439
V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Fagiano Okayama - More Markets: Fagiano Okayama (-2.5)
0xf65661…1cc3
V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Fagiano Okayama - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x39f384…3efc
V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Fagiano Okayama - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x716f77…c36d
What moved the line
- May 3Fagiano Okayama (-2.5)↑4pp28→32¢ · Polymarket
- May 3O/U 4.5↑3pp31→34¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Cerezo Ōsaka (-2.5)↑3pp28→31¢ · Polymarket
Recently closed in general
- Canterbury Rams vs Franklin Bulls WinnerSouthland Sharkslast 65% · 0d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 4 min ago.