Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Cerezo Ōsaka: O/U 1.5
This contract is priced at 77¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 72¢ bid, 82¢ ask, 10¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
9
Family volume
$15
Best sibling
O/U 2.5 53¢
Ticker
0x69939295…76a7
Price history
77¢ current
+17¢Orderbook snapshot
72 / 82¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming J1 100 Year Vision League game between Shimizu S-Pulse and Cerezo Ōsaka, scheduled for May 6 at 12:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Shimizu S-Pulse and Cerezo Ōsaka combine to score 2 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 2, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on jleague.jp. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
May 6, 2026
Identifier
0x69939295…76a7
Event family
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Cerezo Ōsaka - More Markets.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$15
Outcomes
9
Highest price
O/U 1.5 77¢
Current share
0%
O/U 1.5
polymarket · 0x699392956e8574b0068655f04c86340395da905db9a0a1c83691c96f140376a7
O/U 2.5
polymarket · 0xd2a2424ae02003bbb337e656c3987b2b1d12ad9aad7fb9edb5868b6fa5a444ad
Shimizu S-Pulse (-1.5)
polymarket · 0x58a32c1a02227c98b8f87cbe8d4ae68c2fd5c63177f81dbcd5d059cf06b77fa2
Cerezo Ōsaka (-1.5)
polymarket · 0x3391937d9b697a5bd01565766582c3bf31c8227da2901e673fdf86f17afc6144
Shimizu S-Pulse (-2.5)
polymarket · 0xc33d1c5ce506ddb23d75e315a0dc7191503b35752a13331c1bb03b4e0f2e62ae
Cerezo Ōsaka (-2.5)
polymarket · 0xbf161f60415e3e1fcbafa287b25cd8af8d21cc294931ae609a766e80193eec44
O/U 3.5
polymarket · 0x9ba5763b1bbf6ee6a9a955e7b7d579cb4ca2664bb4772744f035dd9fbea95369
O/U 4.5
polymarket · 0x8f53ed6beec70830c11ea974cb923f308725be3fe2e6fffb4ef8f2e2940e5fd7
Both Teams to Score
polymarket · 0xfb2380378688704b47494565f0cefde372a42d15936b8d92a9350bfe9e8afa88
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Resolution Risk Premium: Pricing the Rule, Not the Outcome
When the resolution rule is fuzzy, the price is the market's estimate of how the rule will be interpreted, not the outcome's probability. Three case studies and the discount math.
Prediction market liquidity: why depth matters more than volume for serious traders
Why orderbook depth matters more than volume for prediction market traders. Real Kalshi examples, liquidity scoring framework, and how to avoid slippage.
Information Finance Has Arrived: A Material Map of Prediction Markets in Q2 2026
Combined Kalshi + Polymarket volume hit $66B in just four months of 2026 — already greater than the entire 2025 industry total. Bernstein projects $1T by 2030. Two venues hold 95% of US share. The distribution layer fragmented across nine retail surfaces. AI agents are 30% of Polymarket wallet activ
Liquidity Migration Across Resolution: Where the Money Goes When a Market Closes
When a flagship prediction market closes, the capital that was in it migrates to next-period siblings, adjacent categories, or off the venue entirely. Three migration patterns and the receiving-market opportunity.
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
The Overround Illusion: Why EE > 0 Isn't Free Money
Event Overround at +0.06 looks like a 6% guaranteed return. After fees and slippage, the trade is usually negative. The interesting use of EE is changes over time, not the raw level.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 77% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.