Shōnan Bellmāre vs. Tochigi City FC
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 39% across 20 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
39%
20 contracts
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$20
20 contracts
Top contract
47¢
$15 · Polymarket
30-day trend
Bracket families
2 clusters across 20 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 0% of their title tokens — “Tochigi City FC vs. Yokohama FC” vs “Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. Shōnan Bellmāre”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Tochigi City FC vs. Yokohama FC
Tochigi City FC vs. Yokohama FC: Tochigi City FC
0x203174…cc92
Tochigi City FC vs. Yokohama FC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x5e3b75…609a
Tochigi City FC vs. Yokohama FC - More Markets: Yokohama FC (-2.5)
0x63f37e…c527
Tochigi City FC vs. Yokohama FC - More Markets: Tochigi City FC (-1.5)
0x00d353…5196
Tochigi City FC vs. Yokohama FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0xd165f0…81c8
Tochigi City FC vs. Yokohama FC - More Markets: Tochigi City FC (-2.5)
0xd08f51…1e15
Tochigi City FC vs. Yokohama FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x1addf0…ac8d
Tochigi City FC vs. Yokohama FC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0xd68383…5708
Tochigi City FC vs. Yokohama FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x22beac…2bae
Tochigi City FC vs. Yokohama FC - More Markets: Yokohama FC (-1.5)
0x2c1d81…eecf
Tochigi City FC vs. Yokohama FC: Draw (Tochigi City FC vs. Yokohama FC)
0x9bdcef…cc6a
Cluster 2
Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. Shōnan Bellmāre
Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. Shōnan Bellmāre: Vanraure Hachinohe FC
0x22f232…f330
Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. Shōnan Bellmāre - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0xb96a58…dc54
Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. Shōnan Bellmāre - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0xf8c905…86be
Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. Shōnan Bellmāre - More Markets: Shōnan Bellmāre (-1.5)
0x3cdb5c…d493
Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. Shōnan Bellmāre - More Markets: Shōnan Bellmāre (-2.5)
0xdc17d5…1ad4
Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. Shōnan Bellmāre - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0xb005ca…3bbc
Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. Shōnan Bellmāre - More Markets: Vanraure Hachinohe FC (-1.5)
0xe04de2…f5d3
Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. Shōnan Bellmāre - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x9e444e…f814
Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. Shōnan Bellmāre - More Markets: Vanraure Hachinohe FC (-2.5)
0x542c31…3743
What moved the line
- May 3Tochigi City FC↓16pp50→34¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Both Teams to Score↓8pp59→51¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Tochigi City FC (-2.5)↑5pp32→37¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Yokohama FC (-1.5)↑4pp33→37¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Shōnan Bellmāre (-1.5)↑4pp33→37¢ · Polymarket
Recently closed in general
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 1 min ago.