Sønderjyske Fodbold vs. FC Midtjylland - More Markets: Sønderjyske Fodbold (-2.5)
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 39% across 19 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
39%
19 contracts
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$2K
19 contracts
Top contract
3¢
$317 · Polymarket
30-day trend
Bracket families
8 clusters across 19 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 29% of their title tokens — “FC Midtjylland vs. Viborg FF - More Markets” vs “FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Molde FK - More Markets: FK Bodø/Glimt”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
FC Midtjylland vs. Viborg FF - More Markets
FC Midtjylland vs. Viborg FF - More Markets: Viborg FF (-2.5)
0x712d79…37f9
FC Midtjylland vs. Viborg FF - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0xa28be5…acce
FC Midtjylland vs. Viborg FF - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0xbd46d7…ea7e
FC Midtjylland vs. Viborg FF - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x43aeb7…9d66
FC Midtjylland vs. Viborg FF - More Markets: FC Midtjylland (-1.5)
0xbb6d71…349d
FC Midtjylland vs. Viborg FF - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x690bc0…5977
FC Midtjylland vs. Viborg FF - More Markets: Viborg FF (-1.5)
0xa24288…ad69
FC Midtjylland vs. Viborg FF - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x043502…f522
FC Midtjylland vs. Viborg FF - More Markets: FC Midtjylland (-2.5)
0xf45bbf…e4b4
Cluster 2
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Molde FK - More Markets: FK Bodø/Glimt
Cluster 3
Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Jeju SK FC - More Markets: O/U
Cluster 4
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Ulsan HD FC - More Markets: O/U
Cluster 5
CA Rosario Central vs. Club Libertad - More Markets: Club Libertad
CA Rosario Central vs. Club Libertad - More Markets: Club Libertad (-2.5)
0x361624…8104
Cluster 6
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC - More Markets: Liaoning Tieren FC
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC - More Markets: Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5)
0xeacd4b…9c9e
Cluster 7
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x92fa6c…9a3a
Cluster 8
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Incheon United FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Incheon United FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x5d58f6…ee3d
What moved the line
- May 2O/U 2.5↓12pp53→41¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5)↓6pp12→6¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Club Libertad (-2.5)↓5pp11→6¢ · Polymarket
- May 2Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5)↓5pp17→12¢ · Polymarket
- May 2Viborg FF (-1.5)↓4pp13→9¢ · Polymarket
Recently closed in general
- Canterbury Rams vs Franklin Bulls WinnerSouthland Sharkslast 65% · 0d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 13 min ago.