Sporting Kansas City vs. Seattle Sounders FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
Leader sits at 93% across 20 bound outcomes, runner-up at 85%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
Over 2.5 runs scored
Outcomes
20
winner-take-all
Runner-up
85¢
Over 3.5 runs scored
Spread
8pp
contested
24h volume
$30K
liquid
Closes
—
not derived
Venue
Kalshi
20 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Kansas City vs Seattle
Kansas City vs Seattle Winner?: Seattle
KXMLBGAME-26MAY031610KCSEA-SEA
Kansas City vs Seattle Winner?: Kansas City
KXMLBGAME-26MAY031610KCSEA-KC
Kansas City vs Seattle Total Runs?: Over 7.5 runs scored
KXMLBTOTAL-26MAY031610KCSEA-8
Kansas City vs Seattle First Inning Run?: Yes
KXMLBRFI-26MAY031610KCSEA
Kansas City vs Seattle Total Runs?: Over 8.5 runs scored
KXMLBTOTAL-26MAY031610KCSEA-9
Kansas City vs Seattle Total Runs?: Over 6.5 runs scored
KXMLBTOTAL-26MAY031610KCSEA-7
Kansas City vs Seattle Total Runs?: Over 12.5 runs scored
KXMLBTOTAL-26MAY031610KCSEA-13
Kansas City vs Seattle first 5 innings runs?: Over 4.5 runs in the first 5 innings
KXMLBF5TOTAL-26MAY031610KCSEA-5
Kansas City vs Seattle first 5 innings winner?: Seattle wins first 5 innings
KXMLBF5-26MAY031610KCSEA-SEA
Kansas City vs Seattle Total Runs?: Over 5.5 runs scored
KXMLBTOTAL-26MAY031610KCSEA-6
Kansas City vs Seattle Total Runs?: Over 4.5 runs scored
KXMLBTOTAL-26MAY031610KCSEA-5
Kansas City vs Seattle Total Runs?: Over 10.5 runs scored
KXMLBTOTAL-26MAY031610KCSEA-11
Kansas City vs Seattle first 5 innings winner?: Kansas City wins first 5 innings
KXMLBF5-26MAY031610KCSEA-KC
Kansas City vs Seattle Total Runs?: Over 3.5 runs scored
KXMLBTOTAL-26MAY031610KCSEA-4
Kansas City vs Seattle Total Runs?: Over 9.5 runs scored
KXMLBTOTAL-26MAY031610KCSEA-10
Kansas City vs Seattle Total Runs?: Over 2.5 runs scored
KXMLBTOTAL-26MAY031610KCSEA-3
Kansas City vs Seattle first 5 innings runs?: Over 2.5 runs in the first 5 innings
KXMLBF5TOTAL-26MAY031610KCSEA-3
Kansas City vs Seattle first 5 innings runs?: Over 5.5 runs in the first 5 innings
KXMLBF5TOTAL-26MAY031610KCSEA-6
Kansas City vs Seattle first 5 innings runs?: Over 1.5 runs in the first 5 innings
KXMLBF5TOTAL-26MAY031610KCSEA-2
Kansas City vs Seattle first 5 innings runs?: Over 6.5 runs in the first 5 innings
KXMLBF5TOTAL-26MAY031610KCSEA-7
What moved the line
- May 3Over 2.5 runs in the first 5 innings↑34pp2→36¢ · Kalshi
- May 3Over 1.5 runs in the first 5 innings↑28pp2→30¢ · Kalshi
- May 3Over 2.5 runs scored↑10pp83→93¢ · Kalshi
- May 1Yes↑9pp36→45¢ · Kalshi
- May 3Over 3.5 runs scored↑8pp77→85¢ · Kalshi
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 4 min ago.