Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs. Kagoshima United FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 38% across 20 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
38%
20 contracts
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$40
20 contracts
Top contract
24¢
$29 · Polymarket
30-day trend
Bracket families
3 clusters across 20 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 25% of their title tokens — “Kagoshima United FC vs. Ōita Trinita - More Markets” vs “Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs. FC Ryūkyū - More Markets”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Kagoshima United FC vs. Ōita Trinita - More Markets
Kagoshima United FC vs. Ōita Trinita - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0xc0ca93…26cd
Kagoshima United FC vs. Ōita Trinita - More Markets: Kagoshima United FC (-1.5)
0x9d9d39…1252
Kagoshima United FC vs. Ōita Trinita - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x58a705…db3a
Kagoshima United FC vs. Ōita Trinita - More Markets: Ōita Trinita (-1.5)
0x88fc7b…35d4
Kagoshima United FC vs. Ōita Trinita - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x439e35…82f7
Kagoshima United FC vs. Ōita Trinita - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0xe0cdd9…7a6d
Kagoshima United FC vs. Ōita Trinita - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0xc65258…6bb8
Kagoshima United FC vs. Ōita Trinita - More Markets: Kagoshima United FC (-2.5)
0xf7b2d5…42fa
Kagoshima United FC vs. Ōita Trinita - More Markets: Ōita Trinita (-2.5)
0x181e34…d370
Cluster 2
Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs. FC Ryūkyū - More Markets
Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs. FC Ryūkyū - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x1caf69…9174
Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs. FC Ryūkyū - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x0bd2ca…5488
Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs. FC Ryūkyū - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x4ff230…0214
Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs. FC Ryūkyū - More Markets: Tegevajaro Miyazaki (-2.5)
0xeba801…f645
Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs. FC Ryūkyū - More Markets: FC Ryūkyū (-1.5)
0xc6d7d5…3edc
Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs. FC Ryūkyū - More Markets: Tegevajaro Miyazaki (-1.5)
0xf4a4fa…188d
Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs. FC Ryūkyū - More Markets: FC Ryūkyū (-2.5)
0x8122ee…88bf
Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs. FC Ryūkyū - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x37d876…81d9
Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs. FC Ryūkyū - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0xac71aa…fa1b
Cluster 3
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Incheon United FC - More Markets
What moved the line
- May 2Incheon United FC (-2.5)↓17pp35→18¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Kagoshima United FC (-2.5)↑5pp32→37¢ · Polymarket
- May 3FC Ryūkyū (-1.5)↑5pp33→38¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Tegevajaro Miyazaki (-2.5)↑5pp32→37¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Ōita Trinita (-1.5)↑5pp33→38¢ · Polymarket
Recently closed in general
- Canterbury Rams vs Franklin Bulls WinnerSouthland Sharkslast 65% · 0d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 9 min ago.