Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 36% across 20 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
36%
20 contracts
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$188
20 contracts
Top contract
28¢
$94 · Polymarket
30-day trend
Bracket families
2 clusters across 20 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 13% of their title tokens — “Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC” vs “Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Wuhan San Zhen FC
0x13b64b…4305
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x4612ca…3182
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC - More Markets: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5)
0x68a5ef…cb41
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x0d83fd…83c0
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC - More Markets: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-1.5)
0x9559fd…f68f
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Qingdao Hainiu FC
0xe80fa6…291b
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0xa6d2ed…c989
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC - More Markets: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-2.5)
0x133174…2281
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC - More Markets: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-2.5)
0xe6edf9…c991
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Draw (Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC)
0xcb984a…8b64
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x091425…55b9
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x3b694c…2e12
Cluster 2
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC
0x299117…a858
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x8508f6…067a
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: Qingdao Xihaian FC
0x5734d6…d64b
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x8c7c03…b8bb
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC - More Markets: Qingdao Xihaian FC (-2.5)
0x6ffa32…eeea
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x2251c7…d389
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC - More Markets: Qingdao Xihaian FC (-1.5)
0x817c8e…fc3f
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x2c997e…95c4
What moved the line
- May 3Qingdao Xihaian FC (-1.5)↑10pp25→35¢ · Polymarket
- May 3O/U 4.5↑10pp16→26¢ · Polymarket
- May 2Qingdao Xihaian FC (-2.5)↓7pp30→23¢ · Polymarket
- May 2Qingdao Xihaian FC↑6pp42→48¢ · Polymarket
- May 2Qingdao Hainiu FC↓6pp39→33¢ · Polymarket
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 23 min ago.