Tochigi City FC vs. Yokohama FC - More Markets
Leader sits at 66% across 9 bound outcomes, runner-up at 49%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
O/U 1.5
Outcomes
9
winner-take-all
Runner-up
49¢
Both Teams to Score
Spread
17pp
contested
24h volume
$0
thin orderbook
Closes
May 6, 2026
2 days
Venue
Polymarket
9 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Tochigi City FC vs. Yokohama FC - More Markets
Tochigi City FC vs. Yokohama FC - More Markets: Tochigi City FC (-1.5)
0x00d353…5196
Tochigi City FC vs. Yokohama FC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0xd68383…5708
Tochigi City FC vs. Yokohama FC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x5e3b75…609a
Tochigi City FC vs. Yokohama FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x22beac…2bae
Tochigi City FC vs. Yokohama FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0xd165f0…81c8
Tochigi City FC vs. Yokohama FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x1addf0…ac8d
Tochigi City FC vs. Yokohama FC - More Markets: Yokohama FC (-2.5)
0x63f37e…c527
Tochigi City FC vs. Yokohama FC - More Markets: Tochigi City FC (-2.5)
0xd08f51…1e15
Tochigi City FC vs. Yokohama FC - More Markets: Yokohama FC (-1.5)
0x2c1d81…eecf
Analysis
This probability represents the likelihood that Tochigi City FC defeats Yokohama FC by more than 1.5 goals in an upcoming match. The 52% reading reflects modest confidence in a decisive Tochigi victory, with the relatively low volume across contracts suggesting limited market engagement. Recent form, goal-scoring efficiency, and defensive records between the two teams would be primary drivers of movement. The match itself serves as the resolution event—once played, the outcome becomes factual and either confirms or contradicts the current market expectation. Any news regarding team injuries, roster changes, or tactical adjustments prior to kickoff could shift the probability meaningfully. The lack of trading volume indicates this market remains relatively illiquid compared to mainstream sports betting venues.
- ›Tochigi City FC's recent goal differential and offensive output compared to Yokohama FC's defensive record
- ›Yokohama FC's historical performance in away or neutral-site matches against similar-tier opponents
- ›Injury reports or roster availability for key players on either side closer to the scheduled match date
- ›Head-to-head historical scoring patterns between these two teams over the past 2-3 seasons
- ›Current league standings and momentum—whether either team is in an offensive or defensive phase of their season
What moved the line
- May 3Both Teams to Score↓8pp59→51¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Tochigi City FC (-2.5)↑5pp32→37¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Yokohama FC (-1.5)↑4pp33→37¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Yokohama FC (-2.5)↑4pp34→38¢ · Polymarket
Recently closed in general
- Canterbury Rams vs Franklin Bulls WinnerSouthland Sharkslast 65% · 0d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 5 min ago.