Urawa Red Diamonds vs. Yokohama F·Marinos
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 30% across 20 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
30%
20 contracts
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$20
20 contracts
Top contract
48¢
$12 · Polymarket
30-day trend
Bracket families
2 clusters across 20 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 0% of their title tokens — “Kashiwa Reysol vs. Urawa Red Diamonds” vs “FC Machida Zelvia vs. Yokohama F·Marinos”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Urawa Red Diamonds
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: Kashiwa Reysol
0x3481b3…7cd2
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Urawa Red Diamonds - More Markets: Kashiwa Reysol (-1.5)
0x13fca1…9be2
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Urawa Red Diamonds - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x1ae4fa…7485
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Urawa Red Diamonds - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x1083aa…04fd
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Urawa Red Diamonds - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x137a07…5c60
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Urawa Red Diamonds - More Markets: Urawa Red Diamonds (-1.5)
0xf874fe…2d7f
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: Draw (Kashiwa Reysol vs. Urawa Red Diamonds)
0xbb1d85…f498
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Urawa Red Diamonds - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x8c771d…0d08
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Urawa Red Diamonds - More Markets: Kashiwa Reysol (-2.5)
0xadcf74…f821
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Urawa Red Diamonds - More Markets: Urawa Red Diamonds (-2.5)
0xc60a6d…d8a2
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Urawa Red Diamonds - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0xde5526…9dbc
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: Urawa Red Diamonds
0xa86687…d447
Cluster 2
FC Machida Zelvia vs. Yokohama F·Marinos
FC Machida Zelvia vs. Yokohama F·Marinos - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x59499b…4dcd
FC Machida Zelvia vs. Yokohama F·Marinos - More Markets: Yokohama F·Marinos (-2.5)
0x91f635…61e3
FC Machida Zelvia vs. Yokohama F·Marinos - More Markets: FC Machida Zelvia (-2.5)
0xbe0413…65c7
FC Machida Zelvia vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: Draw (FC Machida Zelvia vs. Yokohama F·Marinos)
0xe986c1…e0f1
FC Machida Zelvia vs. Yokohama F·Marinos - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x2d1ff3…fa68
FC Machida Zelvia vs. Yokohama F·Marinos - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x370751…ca9a
FC Machida Zelvia vs. Yokohama F·Marinos - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x3f4aee…054d
FC Machida Zelvia vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: FC Machida Zelvia
0xfadb01…63e0
What moved the line
- May 3Kashiwa Reysol (-1.5)↓8pp37→29¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Urawa Red Diamonds (-2.5)↓4pp28→24¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Kashiwa Reysol (-2.5)↓4pp32→28¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Yokohama F·Marinos (-2.5)↑3pp34→37¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Urawa Red Diamonds (-1.5)↓3pp28→25¢ · Polymarket
Recently closed in general
- Canterbury Rams vs Franklin Bulls WinnerSouthland Sharkslast 65% · 0d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 7 min ago.