Utah Royals FC vs. Houston Dash - More Markets
Leader sits at 65% across 9 bound outcomes, runner-up at 54%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
O/U 1.5
Outcomes
9
winner-take-all
Runner-up
54¢
O/U 2.5
Spread
11pp
contested
24h volume
$0
thin orderbook
Closes
May 7, 2026
3 days
Venue
Polymarket
9 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Utah Royals FC vs. Houston Dash - More Markets
Utah Royals FC vs. Houston Dash - More Markets: Utah Royals FC (-1.5)
0x920c44…2e0b
Utah Royals FC vs. Houston Dash - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x5ccc92…b5d5
Utah Royals FC vs. Houston Dash - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x7cba40…e09c
Utah Royals FC vs. Houston Dash - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x2113bb…91c8
Utah Royals FC vs. Houston Dash - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x64e235…d0d8
Utah Royals FC vs. Houston Dash - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0xb3384b…c235
Utah Royals FC vs. Houston Dash - More Markets: Houston Dash (-2.5)
0xc75506…5e09
Utah Royals FC vs. Houston Dash - More Markets: Utah Royals FC (-2.5)
0x480bda…7034
Utah Royals FC vs. Houston Dash - More Markets: Houston Dash (-1.5)
0x048577…0f9a
Analysis
This represents the probability that Utah Royals FC defeats Houston Dash in an upcoming match. The 51% probability reflects moderate confidence in Utah as the favored outcome, though the runner-up option at 34% indicates meaningful uncertainty. The probability is driven by team form, recent head-to-head records, injury status, and home-field advantage considerations. Resolution depends on the final match result, which will occur on the scheduled competition date. Market pricing suggests near-even odds with a slight lean toward Utah, though the distribution across multiple outcomes indicates bettors lack strong consensus. Changes to key injury reports or team roster news could shift the probability meaningfully before kickoff.
- ›Utah Royals FC's win-loss record and goal differential this season compared to Houston Dash's corresponding metrics
- ›Availability of key players on both rosters, particularly any confirmed injuries or suspensions announced before match day
- ›Home vs. away performance records for both teams in recent matches, including scoring patterns and defensive consistency
- ›Head-to-head historical results between Utah Royals FC and Houston Dash over the past 2-3 seasons
- ›Recent form trend for each team over the last 5-10 matches, including points per game and momentum indicators
What moved the line
- May 3Houston Dash (-1.5)↑4pp33→37¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Houston Dash (-2.5)↑4pp34→38¢ · Polymarket
Recently closed in general
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 1 min ago.