Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. Thespa Gunma - More Markets
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 41% across 20 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
41%
20 contracts
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$5
20 contracts
Closes
May 3, 2026
0 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
2 clusters across 20 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 0% of their title tokens — “Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. Shōnan Bellmāre” vs “Montedio Yamagata vs. Thespa Gunma”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. Shōnan Bellmāre
Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. Shōnan Bellmāre: Vanraure Hachinohe FC
0x22f232…f330
Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. Shōnan Bellmāre - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0xb005ca…3bbc
Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. Shōnan Bellmāre - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0xf8c905…86be
Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. Shōnan Bellmāre - More Markets: Shōnan Bellmāre (-1.5)
0x3cdb5c…d493
Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. Shōnan Bellmāre - More Markets: Shōnan Bellmāre (-2.5)
0xdc17d5…1ad4
Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. Shōnan Bellmāre - More Markets: Vanraure Hachinohe FC (-1.5)
0xe04de2…f5d3
Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. Shōnan Bellmāre - More Markets: Vanraure Hachinohe FC (-2.5)
0x542c31…3743
Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. Shōnan Bellmāre - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0xb96a58…dc54
Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. Shōnan Bellmāre - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x9e444e…f814
Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. Shōnan Bellmāre - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x5680f0…8296
Cluster 2
Montedio Yamagata vs. Thespa Gunma
Montedio Yamagata vs. Thespa Gunma - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x68f5fb…ba0a
Montedio Yamagata vs. Thespa Gunma: Montedio Yamagata
0x16f4ac…32bb
Montedio Yamagata vs. Thespa Gunma - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0xf9c843…8a5a
Montedio Yamagata vs. Thespa Gunma - More Markets: Montedio Yamagata (-2.5)
0xa5b295…370e
Montedio Yamagata vs. Thespa Gunma - More Markets: Thespa Gunma (-1.5)
0xa980d1…29b1
Montedio Yamagata vs. Thespa Gunma - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0xda0ea1…f5e3
Montedio Yamagata vs. Thespa Gunma - More Markets: Montedio Yamagata (-1.5)
0xc6b29b…917b
Montedio Yamagata vs. Thespa Gunma - More Markets: Thespa Gunma (-2.5)
0xf0472b…99af
Montedio Yamagata vs. Thespa Gunma - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0xc26872…5101
Montedio Yamagata vs. Thespa Gunma - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0xd6d00c…a2e5
What moved the line
- May 3Shōnan Bellmāre (-1.5)↑4pp33→37¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Thespa Gunma (-1.5)↑4pp33→37¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Shōnan Bellmāre (-2.5)↑3pp35→38¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Montedio Yamagata (-2.5)↑3pp33→36¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Montedio Yamagata↑3pp44→47¢ · Polymarket
Recently closed in general
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
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In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 2 min ago.