Wadi Degla SC vs. Kahrabaa Ismailia FC - More Markets
Leader sits at 71% across 9 bound outcomes, runner-up at 46%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
O/U 1.5
Outcomes
9
winner-take-all
Runner-up
46¢
Both Teams to Score
Spread
25pp
contested
24h volume
$60
thin orderbook
Closes
May 4, 2026
0 days
Venue
Polymarket
9 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Wadi Degla SC vs. Kahrabaa Ismailia FC - More Markets
Wadi Degla SC vs. Kahrabaa Ismailia FC - More Markets: Kahrabaa Ismailia FC (-1.5)
0x5b91af…5f37
Wadi Degla SC vs. Kahrabaa Ismailia FC - More Markets: Kahrabaa Ismailia FC (-2.5)
0x0c4ff8…08d1
Wadi Degla SC vs. Kahrabaa Ismailia FC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0xb8314f…5ef8
Wadi Degla SC vs. Kahrabaa Ismailia FC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x92a8e7…6fed
Wadi Degla SC vs. Kahrabaa Ismailia FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x275cdd…28e1
Wadi Degla SC vs. Kahrabaa Ismailia FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x67744c…7e7b
Wadi Degla SC vs. Kahrabaa Ismailia FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x7c8d93…bb95
Wadi Degla SC vs. Kahrabaa Ismailia FC - More Markets: Wadi Degla SC (-2.5)
0x765998…ed52
Wadi Degla SC vs. Kahrabaa Ismailia FC - More Markets: Wadi Degla SC (-1.5)
0x7e492a…bf51
Analysis
The current 47% probability reflects market expectation that Wadi Degla SC will win an upcoming match against Kahrabaa Ismailia FC, based on aggregated pricing from Polymarket contracts. This probability sits notably below even odds, suggesting the market currently favors the opposing outcome at 30%, with remaining probability distributed across draws or other outcomes. The level likely reflects recent form, head-to-head records, and home/away status between the two Egyptian clubs. The match date and venue conditions—along with any late team news regarding injuries or roster changes—represent the primary catalyst that would shift this probability before the fixture kicks off. Current trading volume and contract liquidity remain modest, meaning material new information could produce sharper repricing.
- ›Match date and kickoff time relative to current date determine time window for probability adjustment
- ›Recent performance records and win rates of both clubs in their respective leagues this season
- ›Head-to-head historical results between Wadi Degla SC and Kahrabaa Ismailia FC
- ›Confirmed team lineups, injury status, and roster availability announced before match day
- ›Home/away designation and stadium conditions if applicable to either team's historical performance
What moved the line
- May 2O/U 4.5↓8pp19→11¢ · Polymarket
- May 2Kahrabaa Ismailia FC (-1.5)↓3pp15→12¢ · Polymarket
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 12 min ago.