What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit in April 2026?
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 32% across 19 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
32%
19 contracts
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$91K
19 contracts
Top contract
28¢
$30K · Polymarket
30-day trend
Bracket families
3 clusters across 19 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 17% of their title tokens — “What price” vs “What will happen before GTA VI”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
What price
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↓ 45,000
0x024b68…6fee
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↓ 40,000
0x1e5564…baa2
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↓ 50,000
0xce3c54…2c56
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↑ 110,000
0x63eaf4…7b01
What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?: ↓ 1,000
0xacb333…e369
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↓ 55,000
0x752fa6…8a8c
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↑ 80,000
0x6e1fbd…5a55
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↑ 90,000
0xbb379a…f50e
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↓ 35,000
0x2745c3…a2a2
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↑ 160,000
0x472c90…54b0
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↑ 100,000
0xdaa486…990f
What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?: ↓ 16
0x8555a0…b7bf
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↑ 130,000
0x885a6a…a859
What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?: ↓ 1,500
0xcf25cc…9780
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↑ 200,000
0xac32e7…68cd
What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?: ↑ 5,500
0xb75b8c…aac8
What price will Solana hit in 2026?: ↓ 60
0x0135f2…c27e
Cluster 2
What will happen before GTA VI
What will happen before GTA VI?: Bitcoin hits $1m
0xbb57cc…89d2
Cluster 3
Will Silver (SI) hit__ by end of June
Will Silver (SI) hit__ by end of June?: ↑ $120
0x1b252d…4665
What moved the line
- Apr 28↓ 16↑19pp19→38¢ · Polymarket
- Apr 29↑ 5,500↓17pp29→12¢ · Polymarket
- Apr 28↑ 5,500↑16pp13→29¢ · Polymarket
- Apr 29↓ 16↓13pp38→25¢ · Polymarket
- Apr 29↓ 45,000↓9pp39→30¢ · Polymarket
Recently closed in general
- Canterbury Rams vs Franklin Bulls WinnerSouthland Sharkslast 65% · 0d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 3 min ago.