Yokohama F·Marinos vs. FC Mito Holly Hock - More Markets: FC Mito Holly Hock (-2.5)
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 31% across 20 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
31%
20 contracts
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$20
20 contracts
Top contract
47¢
$12 · Polymarket
30-day trend
Bracket families
2 clusters across 20 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 0% of their title tokens — “Kashima Antlers vs. FC Mito Holly Hock” vs “FC Machida Zelvia vs. Yokohama F·Marinos”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Kashima Antlers vs. FC Mito Holly Hock
Kashima Antlers vs. FC Mito Holly Hock - More Markets: Kashima Antlers (-2.5)
0x6b096c…3965
Kashima Antlers vs. FC Mito Holly Hock: FC Mito Holly Hock
0x7c2edc…941e
Kashima Antlers vs. FC Mito Holly Hock - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x0020fd…fde4
Kashima Antlers vs. FC Mito Holly Hock - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x081084…5e13
Kashima Antlers vs. FC Mito Holly Hock: Kashima Antlers
0xda16f5…3b65
Kashima Antlers vs. FC Mito Holly Hock - More Markets: Kashima Antlers (-1.5)
0xe7a530…9059
Kashima Antlers vs. FC Mito Holly Hock: Draw (Kashima Antlers vs. FC Mito Holly Hock)
0x701ae4…dfa5
Kashima Antlers vs. FC Mito Holly Hock - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x9a04eb…c058
Kashima Antlers vs. FC Mito Holly Hock - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x2f00d8…2029
Kashima Antlers vs. FC Mito Holly Hock - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0xd385a3…17a7
Kashima Antlers vs. FC Mito Holly Hock - More Markets: FC Mito Holly Hock (-2.5)
0x317f8e…e834
Kashima Antlers vs. FC Mito Holly Hock - More Markets: FC Mito Holly Hock (-1.5)
0x016905…b20d
Cluster 2
FC Machida Zelvia vs. Yokohama F·Marinos
FC Machida Zelvia vs. Yokohama F·Marinos - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x59499b…4dcd
FC Machida Zelvia vs. Yokohama F·Marinos - More Markets: Yokohama F·Marinos (-2.5)
0x91f635…61e3
FC Machida Zelvia vs. Yokohama F·Marinos - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x370751…ca9a
FC Machida Zelvia vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: Draw (FC Machida Zelvia vs. Yokohama F·Marinos)
0xe986c1…e0f1
FC Machida Zelvia vs. Yokohama F·Marinos - More Markets: FC Machida Zelvia (-2.5)
0xbe0413…65c7
FC Machida Zelvia vs. Yokohama F·Marinos - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x3f4aee…054d
FC Machida Zelvia vs. Yokohama F·Marinos - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x55c4f8…292a
FC Machida Zelvia vs. Yokohama F·Marinos - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x2d1ff3…fa68
What moved the line
- May 3Kashima Antlers (-2.5)↑4pp32→36¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Yokohama F·Marinos (-2.5)↑3pp34→37¢ · Polymarket
- May 3FC Mito Holly Hock (-2.5)↑3pp34→37¢ · Polymarket
- May 3FC Machida Zelvia (-2.5)↑3pp32→35¢ · Polymarket
Recently closed in general
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 3 min ago.