ZED FC vs. El Gouna SC - More Markets
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 33% across 19 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
33%
19 contracts
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
−4pp
13h ago
24h volume
$810
19 contracts
Closes
May 7, 2026
3 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
8 clusters across 19 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 25% of their title tokens — “Haras El Hodood SC vs. ZED FC - More Markets” vs “FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Molde FK - More Markets: FK Bodø/Glimt”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Haras El Hodood SC vs. ZED FC - More Markets
Haras El Hodood SC vs. ZED FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0xc61fee…dbe0
Haras El Hodood SC vs. ZED FC - More Markets: Haras El Hodood SC (-2.5)
0x4ba70b…576a
Haras El Hodood SC vs. ZED FC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0xc3a5b7…20a0
Haras El Hodood SC vs. ZED FC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x0691be…0c44
Haras El Hodood SC vs. ZED FC - More Markets: Haras El Hodood SC (-1.5)
0xb14e19…075f
Haras El Hodood SC vs. ZED FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x4cfcee…151a
Haras El Hodood SC vs. ZED FC - More Markets: ZED FC (-1.5)
0x8b80ae…e3a6
Haras El Hodood SC vs. ZED FC - More Markets: ZED FC (-2.5)
0xc2e12e…531a
Haras El Hodood SC vs. ZED FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x446a8c…ec1f
Cluster 2
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Molde FK - More Markets: FK Bodø/Glimt
Cluster 3
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC - More Markets
Cluster 4
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Incheon United FC - More Markets
Cluster 5
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x92fa6c…9a3a
Cluster 6
Kawasaki Frontale vs. Tōkyō Verdy - More Markets: Tōkyō Verdy
Kawasaki Frontale vs. Tōkyō Verdy - More Markets: Tōkyō Verdy (-1.5)
0x2ae2eb…68c8
Cluster 7
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x8c7c03…b8bb
Cluster 8
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x4612ca…3182
Analysis
This market assigns a 37% probability to ZED FC scoring more goals than El Gouna SC in their upcoming Egyptian Premier League match. The probability reflects relatively balanced odds, suggesting the market views the matchup as competitive but slightly favoring under-performance or defensive play from ZED FC. Key drivers of this level include recent offensive form, team defensive capabilities, head-to-head history, and any injuries or roster changes. The primary uncertainty will resolve when the match concludes and the final goal count is recorded. Currently, the market shows moderate confidence rather than a strong lean in either direction, with relatively low trading volume suggesting limited recent activity or consensus around the outcome.
- ›ZED FC's recent goal-scoring rate in league play compared to their season average
- ›El Gouna SC's defensive record and goals-conceded statistics in home and away fixtures
- ›Historical head-to-head goal totals between these teams in previous meetings
- ›Injury status or roster absences for key attacking or defensive players on either side
- ›The specific goal threshold implied by available betting spreads across different sportsbooks
What moved the line
- May 2Incheon United FC (-2.5)↓17pp35→18¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5)↓6pp12→6¢ · Polymarket
- May 2Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5)↓5pp17→12¢ · Polymarket
- May 2O/U 2.5↑3pp63→66¢ · Polymarket
- May 2O/U 2.5↓3pp56→53¢ · Polymarket
Recently closed in general
- Canterbury Rams vs Franklin Bulls WinnerSouthland Sharkslast 65% · 0d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 11 min ago.