Zweigen Kanazawa vs. Ehime FC
Leader sits at 51% across 3 bound outcomes, runner-up at 36%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
Zweigen Kanazawa
Outcomes
3
winner-take-all
Runner-up
36¢
Ehime FC
Spread
15pp
contested
24h volume
$0
thin orderbook
Closes
May 6, 2026
2 days
Venue
Polymarket
3 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Zweigen Kanazawa vs. Ehime FC
Analysis
Markets currently price Zweigen Kanazawa as a 49% favorite to win this matchup, reflecting a relatively balanced contest with a slight edge to the home side. The probability is driven by Kanazawa's home advantage and recent performance relative to Ehime FC's away record, though the 40% probability for Ehime suggests this is viewed as genuinely competitive. Secondary markets show 51¢ odds on both teams scoring and roughly 41¢ on over 3.5 goals, indicating expectations of an open, attacking game rather than a defensive stalemate. The resolution will depend on team form, injuries, and tactical setup heading into match day. Key variables include each squad's current league position, recent head-to-head results, and whether either team prioritizes this fixture given their seasonal objectives in the Japanese football calendar.
- ›Zweigen Kanazawa's home advantage and historical performance against Ehime FC in recent seasons
- ›Current league standings and recent form trajectories of both teams as of early May 2026
- ›Injury status and squad availability for each side, particularly among key attacking or defensive players
- ›Ehime FC's away record versus Kanazawa's home record in the same season context
- ›Both teams' scoring and conceding patterns, reflected in the 51¢ probability for both teams to score
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 9 min ago.