Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?

Prediction markets currently give a 45% probability that Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?. This contract trades at 45¢ on Polymarket, closing November 1, 2026. The Dodgers' NLCS odds have declined 2 cents over seven days to 45¢, reflecting modest bearish sentiment despite the team's historical strength.

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45¢
Bid/Ask 44/45¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $1,002.222·OI $17,669.919·Closes Nov 1, 2026·193d remaining
0x07d6d1ac69e705071cfaa10ab950f8231dc3de7cb03638cbabb7fbf481806797
7-day price5 snapshots · 8 regime
47¢45¢ current
Apr 845¢Apr 10

Analysis

5d ago

The Dodgers' NLCS odds have declined 2 cents over seven days to 45¢, reflecting modest bearish sentiment despite the team's historical strength. With $15.5M in open interest but zero 24-hour volume, this market shows significant liquidity depth but concerning inactivity, suggesting traders may be waiting for clearer 2026 season developments before committing fresh capital. The 224.5% implied yield on the Yes side appears attractive but should be contextualized against the 199-day time horizon and the inherent uncertainty of projecting playoff performance nearly two years out.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 National League Championship Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 National League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 National League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 231.0%
IY (No) 154.7%
Adj IY 116%
CRI 1
Overround -0.0%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)231.0%
IY (No)154.7%
Adj IY116%
CRI1
Overround-0.0%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.341
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 9:50:57 PM
Observability lowEvent type sports
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 9:38:18 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x07d6d1ac69e705071cfaa10ab950f8231dc3de7cb03638cbabb7fbf481806797 yes 100

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