Will Jordan Love lead Pro Football in Passing Touchdowns for the 2026-2027 Regular Season?

Prediction markets currently give a 20% probability that Will Jordan Love lead Pro Football in Passing Touchdowns for the 2026-2027 Regular Season?. This contract trades at 20¢ on Kalshi, closing February 8, 2027. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $23 open interest, making the 20¢ price potentially unreliable for serious trading.

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20¢
Bid/Ask 0/20¢·Spread 20¢·Vol $0·OI $23·Closes Feb 8, 2027·293d remaining
KXLEADERNFLPTDS-27-JLOVE10

Analysis

2d ago

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $23 open interest, making the 20¢ price potentially unreliable for serious trading. The 494% implied yield on the Yes side is extraordinarily high and likely reflects the thin liquidity rather than genuine market consensus, while the 4/10 cliff risk index suggests meaningful uncertainty around resolution mechanics. With nearly 10 months until expiry and Love competing against elite QB talent (Mahomes, Allen, Burrow), the 20% probability appears reasonable on fundamentals, but traders should demand significant volume confirmation before sizing into this illiquid contract.

Resolution rules

If Jordan Love leads Pro Football in Passing Touchdowns for the 2026-2027 Regular Season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 497.8%
IY (No) 31.1%
Adj IY 0%
CRI 4
Overround 0.7%
LAS 1.00
▶ Full indicator table (6)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)497.8%
IY (No)31.1%
Adj IY0%
CRI4
Overround0.7%
LAS1.00

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
20¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:42:39 AM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:38:26 AM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXLEADERNFLPTDS-27-JLOVE10 yes 100

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