Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?

Prediction markets currently give a 1% probability that Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?. This contract trades at 1¢ on Polymarket, closing April 29, 2026.

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1¢mid
Bid/Ask 0/1¢·Spread 0¢·Vol $244.261·OI $5,645.838·Closes Apr 29, 2026
0x0a56c2262bd104bca10387b9678fd154ce3111b5cc4de08f1feb728e911ce737
7-day price8 snapshots · 62 regime
50¢0¢ current
Apr 150¢Apr 28

Resolution rules

The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for April 28-29, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on April 29, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
0¢
Computed
4/29/2026, 9:18:14 AM
Observability highEvent type political

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x0a56c2262bd104bca10387b9678fd154ce3111b5cc4de08f1feb728e911ce737 yes 100

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