What is the current probability for "Dreamcash FDV above $100M one day after launch?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 63¢ (63% implied probability) on Polymarket. It closes on January 1, 2028. 619 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Dreamcash FDV above $100M one day after launch?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 34.7% and 100.5% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Dreamcash FDV above $100M one day after launch?"?

This market trades on Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Dreamcash FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 63% probability that Dreamcash FDV above $100M one day after launch?. This contract trades at 63¢ on Polymarket, closing January 1, 2028.

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63¢

Bid/Ask 38/87¢·Spread 49¢·Vol $10·OI $1,841.433·Closes Jan 1, 2028·619d remaining

0x0cb1760c15287d5f0d01a6b9a26bd688331982d7b7754e036353c3ffb2381dea

7-day price1507 snapshots · 7 regime

77¢65¢ current

Apr 832¢Apr 22

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Dreamcash's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Dreamcash (https://x.com/Dreamcash) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Indicators

IY (Yes) 34.7%

IY (No) 100.5%

Adj IY 50%

CRI 2

Overround 1.7%

▶ Full indicator table (5)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	34.7%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	100.5%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	50%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	2	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	1.7%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

49¢

Computed

4/22/2026, 8:33:15 AM

Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 8:23:24 AM

Trade

View on polymarket →sf trade 0x0cb1760c15287d5f0d01a6b9a26bd688331982d7b7754e036353c3ffb2381dea yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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