Will David Njoku play for Seattle Seahawks in 2026-27?

Prediction markets currently give a 48% probability that Will David Njoku play for Seattle Seahawks in 2026-27?. This contract trades at 48¢ on Polymarket, closing September 1, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $10.8k open interest and a massive 66¢ spread, suggesting minimal trading activity and potentially unreliable pricing.

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48¢
Bid/Ask 1/96¢·Spread 95¢·Vol $0·OI $7.235·Closes Sep 1, 2026·124d remaining
0x15d776c5e7728aaae465af3982ac83cf84b3bf1afd7787803f4629392ebcd218
7-day price111 snapshots · 6 regime
50¢48¢ current
Apr 923¢Apr 29

Analysis

13d ago

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $10.8k open interest and a massive 66¢ spread, suggesting minimal trading activity and potentially unreliable pricing. The 33¢ price implies only a 33% probability Njoku joins Seattle by August 2026, but the 538% implied yield on the Yes side reflects the outsized risk premium demanded by the sparse liquidity rather than genuine conviction. With 138 days to expiry and a realized volatility of 201%, this appears to be a speculative, thinly-traded market where the price movement from 24¢ to 33¢ over seven days may reflect information arrival (0.7/h) rather than fundamental shifts in Njoku's likelihood of joining the Seahawks.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the next team David Njoku officially joins by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If David Njoku does not officially join a new team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. If David Njoku joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”. If David Njoku is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. An official signing announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the NFL and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 318.3%
IY (No) 271.2%
Adj IY 318%
CRI 1
RV 559%
VR 2.99
▶ Full indicator table (8)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)318.3%
IY (No)271.2%
Adj IY318%
CRI1
RV559%
VR2.99
IAR0.3/h
Overround13.7%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
95¢
Computed
4/29/2026, 7:01:33 PM
Indicators computed 4/29/2026, 6:53:27 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x15d776c5e7728aaae465af3982ac83cf84b3bf1afd7787803f4629392ebcd218 yes 100

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