What is the current probability for "Will Independiente Santa Fe win Colombia Primera A?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 48¢ (48% implied probability) on Polymarket. It closes on June 30, 2026. 63 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will Independiente Santa Fe win Colombia Primera A?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 626.4% and 533.7% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will Independiente Santa Fe win Colombia Primera A?"?

This market trades on Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Will Independiente Santa Fe win Colombia Primera A?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 48% probability that Will Independiente Santa Fe win Colombia Primera A?. This contract trades at 48¢ on Polymarket, closing June 30, 2026.

███████████████████░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░

48¢

Bid/Ask —/95¢·Spread 95¢·Vol $0·OI $1.1·Closes Jun 30, 2026·63d remaining

0x17b23503c0c663317401f5e729903ed4592a0763e16ec8cc98534b1e08136271

7-day price4 snapshots · 2 regime

48¢47¢ current

Apr 2547¢Apr 26

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the champion of the Colombia Primera A. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of Colombia Primera A per the rules of Colombia Primera A (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the Colombia Primera A; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 626.4%

IY (No) 533.7%

Adj IY 313%

CRI 1

Overround 8.6%

▶ Full indicator table (5)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	626.4%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	533.7%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	313%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	1	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	8.6%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

95¢

Computed

4/27/2026, 9:06:35 PM

Indicators computed 4/27/2026, 8:53:54 PM

Trade

View on polymarket →sf trade 0x17b23503c0c663317401f5e729903ed4592a0763e16ec8cc98534b1e08136271 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

Related Prediction Market Questions