Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?

Prediction markets currently give a 3% probability that Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?. This contract trades at 3¢ on Polymarket, closing June 16, 2026.

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3¢
Bid/Ask 3/4¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $58.32·OI $15,216.201·Closes Jun 16, 2026·55d remaining
0x1b9241de79ca65e8ce76396b3845854363e5ae949f9eba70986f923fb4ecc9ce
7-day price47 snapshots · 24 regime
5¢3¢ current
Apr 111¢Apr 20

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 21574.1%
IY (No) 20.6%
Adj IY 7192%
CRI 32
Overround 0.0%
LAS 0.33
▶ Full indicator table (6)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)21574.1%
IY (No)20.6%
Adj IY7192%
CRI32
Overround0.0%
LAS0.33

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 7:12:45 AM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/22/2026, 7:08:33 AM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x1b9241de79ca65e8ce76396b3845854363e5ae949f9eba70986f923fb4ecc9ce yes 100

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