Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-04-22?
Prediction markets currently give a 22% probability that Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-04-22?. This contract trades at 22¢ on Polymarket, closing April 23, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $166.763 in open interest, and the Yes position has collapsed 53% over seven days (47¢ to 22¢), suggesting significant negative information arrived about Santos Laguna's prospects.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $166.763 in open interest, and the Yes position has collapsed 53% over seven days (47¢ to 22¢), suggesting significant negative information arrived about Santos Laguna's prospects. The astronomical implied yield of 19,098% on the Yes side reflects the severe mispricing typical of dead markets, while the 9¢ spread and high realized volatility (892%) indicate uncertainty and thin order books rather than genuine edge. With only 7 days to expiry and a Cliff Risk Index of 4, this market is approaching resolution with minimal liquidity to execute trades, making it unsuitable for meaningful position-taking.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 22, 2026 If Club Santos Laguna wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Indicators
▶ Full indicator table (3)▼ Full indicator table (3)
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Adj IY | 50000% |
| CRI | 4 |
| Overround | 0.0% |
Regime
Trade
sf trade 0x21c15f174980eaa25c2fdd9d06eba85c3b7f508a3b29b8dfce2761aa4c7d7310 yes 100