Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $230k open interest, suggesting the position is largely illiquid and potentially trapped. The 22% draw probability appears reasonable for a Bayern-Leverkusen matchup, but the astronomical 22,404% implied yield on the Yes side is a mathematical artifact of the low price and should be disregarded as meaningless given the zero trading activity. With only 6 days to expiry and a modest 3¢ spread, this market lacks the depth needed for confident position entry or exit.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 22, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Regime

Trade