Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-22?

This market displays extreme yield anomalies with a 23,772% implied yield on the Yes side despite only 6 days to expiry, suggesting severe mispricing or a data error rather than legitimate edge. The 21¢ price has remained completely flat over 7 days with minimal 24h volume of $19.62 against substantial $235k open interest, indicating low liquidity and potential difficulty exiting positions at quoted prices. With a Cliff Risk Index of 4 and resolution imminent, this appears to be a stale or illiquid market where the extreme yield metrics should not be trusted for trading decisions.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 22, 2026 If Bayer 04 Leverkusen wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

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