Will AD Pasto vs. Independiente Santa Fe end in a draw?

This market exhibits extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $64.4k open interest, coupled with a massive 56¢ bid-ask spread that inflates the implied yield to an unrealistic 10,496% for the Yes side. The 36¢ price has drifted down 3¢ over seven days in a neutral regime, and with only 6 days to expiry, the market faces significant cliff risk if the April 23 match is postponed or canceled—a material concern given the incomplete resolution language in the terms.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 23, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

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