Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

Prediction markets currently give a 48% probability that Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?. This contract trades at 48¢ on Polymarket, closing November 30, 2026.

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48¢
Bid/Ask 46/49¢·Spread 3¢·Vol $103.28·OI $33,699.539·Closes Nov 30, 2026·222d remaining
0x5512bfa9294bf914063ed120969908dee5cdf6e14293f28ca405d3ce4edcf485
7-day price28 snapshots · 34 regime
54¢48¢ current
Apr 941¢Apr 20

Resolution rules

Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).

Indicators

IY (Yes) 178.0%
IY (No) 151.7%
Adj IY 89%
CRI 1
Overround -0.0%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)178.0%
IY (No)151.7%
Adj IY89%
CRI1
Overround-0.0%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
3¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 9:51:27 PM
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 9:38:18 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x5512bfa9294bf914063ed120969908dee5cdf6e14293f28ca405d3ce4edcf485 yes 100

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