Will Newcastle United qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?

Prediction markets currently give a 6% probability that Will Newcastle United qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?. This contract trades at 6¢ on Polymarket, closing September 1, 2026.

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6¢
Bid/Ask /12¢·Spread 12¢·Vol $0·OI $188.06·Closes Sep 1, 2026·130d remaining
0x5eb57fe539ef462055513e10f85d5f6c3fd09b36d9f1c1640dda83a22707a33e
7-day price53 snapshots · 3 regime
10¢6¢ current
Apr 226¢Apr 23
Cross-venue

Also on kalshi at ¢

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.79Close-time delta 2362h

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team clinches a league phase spot in the 2026-27 Champions League per UEFA rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to clinch a league phase spot in the 2026-27 Champions League (e.g. they cannot mathematically achieve a Champions League place, cannot qualify through play in European or cup competitions, etc.), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2025-26 English Premier League season is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether the listed team qualified for the league phase of the 2026-27 Champions League per UEFA rules within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA and/or the EPL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 4397.8%
IY (No) 17.9%
Adj IY 2199%
CRI 16
Overround 3.4%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)4397.8%
IY (No)17.9%
Adj IY2199%
CRI16
Overround3.4%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
12¢
Computed
4/23/2026, 11:31:53 PM
Indicators computed 4/23/2026, 11:23:13 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x5eb57fe539ef462055513e10f85d5f6c3fd09b36d9f1c1640dda83a22707a33e yes 100

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