Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-22?

This market exhibits extreme annualized yields (4391% for Yes, 9094% for No) typical of short-duration event contracts, with only 6 days to expiry creating substantial cliff risk despite the neutral regime score. The 59¢ price has remained completely flat over 7 days with modest $60.7k daily volume against $202.7m open interest, suggesting the market has reached equilibrium on Bayern's win probability. The tight 2¢ spread and substantial open interest indicate reasonable liquidity for a near-term sports resolution event, though traders should monitor for any game postponement announcements that could extend the contract duration.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 22, 2026 If FC Bayern München wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Regime

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