Will Carleigh Beriont be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?

Prediction markets currently give a 11% probability that Will Carleigh Beriont be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?. This contract trades at 11¢ on Polymarket, closing September 8, 2026.

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11¢
Bid/Ask 10/11¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $11.25·OI $15,232.607·Closes Sep 8, 2026·139d remaining
0x7d145bcc5ba69711989e88df77d3b91858bd020277becfe903583f538a01e265
7-day price183 snapshots · 2 regime
11¢11¢ current
Apr 810¢Apr 22

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 2130.0%
IY (No) 32.5%
Adj IY 1065%
CRI 8
Overround 0.0%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)2130.0%
IY (No)32.5%
Adj IY1065%
CRI8
Overround0.0%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 8:24:24 AM
Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 8:23:24 AM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x7d145bcc5ba69711989e88df77d3b91858bd020277becfe903583f538a01e265 yes 100

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