Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5

This market shows extreme distress signals with zero 24-hour volume despite $323k open interest and a massive 9¢ spread, suggesting severe illiquidity heading into resolution in just 6 days. The astronomical implied yields (14,745% for Yes, 2,708% for No) are artifacts of the stalled price at 30¢ rather than genuine opportunities, indicating the market has likely frozen with no recent trading activity to establish fair value. With a Cliff Risk Index of 2 and realized volatility at 433%, this appears to be a dead or abandoned market where the 30¢ price may not reflect current betting consensus on whether this DFB-Pokal matchup produces 5+ combined goals.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming DFB-Pokal game between Bayer 04 Leverkusen and FC Bayern München, scheduled for April 22 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Bayer 04 Leverkusen and FC Bayern München combine to score 5 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 5, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on dfb.de. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Regime

Trade