Will FC Universitario win on 2026-04-24?

This market exhibits extreme illiquidity and pricing distortion with zero 24-hour volume despite $192.7k open interest and a massive 54¢ bid-ask spread, suggesting the 37¢ price may not reflect true probability. The annualized implied yield of 12,222% on the Yes side is nonsensical and indicates severe mispricing rather than genuine market consensus, likely driven by stale quotes and minimal trading activity. With only 6 days to expiry and a realized volatility of 1,063%, traders should exercise extreme caution as the actual match outcome could render these theoretical yields irrelevant.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 24, 2026 If FC Universitario wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

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