Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $313k open interest and a wide 12¢ spread, suggesting the 50¢ midprice may not reflect true consensus. The astronomical implied yields (6319% for both sides) are artifacts of near-expiry pricing with only 6 days to resolution, though the 119% realized volatility indicates genuine uncertainty about goal totals in this Bundesliga matchup. The neutral regime and balanced probability suggest the market is fairly priced at even odds for over/under 3.5 goals, but traders should be cautious given the illiquidity and verify pricing against other sportsbooks before entering positions.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming DFB-Pokal game between Bayer 04 Leverkusen and FC Bayern München, scheduled for April 22 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Bayer 04 Leverkusen and FC Bayern München combine to score 4 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 4, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on dfb.de. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

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