What is the current probability for "Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 3¢ (3% implied probability) on Polymarket. It closes on January 1, 2027. 254 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 4654.4% and 4.5% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?"?

This market trades on Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 3% probability that Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?. This contract trades at 3¢ on Polymarket, closing January 1, 2027.

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3¢

Bid/Ask 2/3¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $15.11·OI $17,445.166·Closes Jan 1, 2027·254d remaining

0x88a19761fa049ae36da8a403464db9f356a7ea7d0163415052ed748bf72a20bf

7-day price6 snapshots · 2 regime

3¢3¢ current

Apr 172¢Apr 22

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Puffpaw's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Puffpaw (https://www.puffpaw.xyz/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Indicators

IY (Yes) 4654.4%

IY (No) 4.5%

Adj IY 2327%

CRI 32

Overround 0.5%

▶ Full indicator table (5)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	4654.4%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	4.5%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	2327%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	32	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	0.5%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

1¢

Computed

4/22/2026, 10:46:17 AM

Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 10:38:24 AM

Trade

View on polymarket →sf trade 0x88a19761fa049ae36da8a403464db9f356a7ea7d0163415052ed748bf72a20bf yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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