Spread: Al Fateh Saudi Club (-1.5)
Prediction markets currently give a 20% probability that Spread: Al Fateh Saudi Club (-1.5). This contract trades at 20¢ on Polymarket, closing April 24, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $137.7k open interest and a wide 27¢ bid-ask spread, suggesting the $137.7k figure may be stale or misreported.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $137.7k open interest and a wide 27¢ bid-ask spread, suggesting the $137.7k figure may be stale or misreported. The 22¢ price (implying only a 22% chance Al Fateh wins by 2+ goals) has declined sharply from 28¢ over seven days, yet the astronomical 23,117% implied yield on "Yes" indicates severe mispricing or a data error—such yields are only realistic in markets with imminent resolution and extreme illiquidity. With just 6 days to expiry and a Cliff Risk Index of 4, this appears to be a low-confidence market where the resolution mechanics or underlying odds may not be well-understood by participants.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming Saudi Professional League game, scheduled for April 24 at 11:45 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Al Fateh Saudi Club" if Al Fateh Saudi Club win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Al Khaleej Saudi Club". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on slstat.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade 0x8d9925bd2d6eac24964ea8338f34ab8f507caf10b47866d156d746690965e3d4 yes 100