Will Craig Albernaz win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year?

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and a massive 46¢ spread, making the 23¢ price potentially unreliable for actual trading. The 495% implied yield on the Yes side is artificially inflated by the wide bid-ask gap rather than reflecting genuine arbitrage opportunity, while the realized volatility of 6514% and vol ratio of 15.09 indicate severe price instability. The sharp 10¢ decline over seven days combined with minimal open interest of $1,611 suggests this is a thinly-traded contract where the quoted price may not reflect true market consensus on Albernaz's managerial prospects.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 American League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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